Conf = ASUN
Nickname = CO Falcons Coach = Bill WilsoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.0943451 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.1) 6-12 210 A Denver Big East (13- 4, 95.7) 9-11 217 H Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.5) 4-12 224 H Stony Brook CAA ( 4-10, 89.8) 12-11 303 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (12- 4, 93.6) 11-15 316 H Queens ASUN ( 2-11, 83.1) 14-10 320 A Utah ASUN (12- 5, 91.6) 12-11 323 A Lindenwood ASUN ( 0-12, 81.7) 15- 3 331 H Cleveland State ASUN ( 9- 8, 86.8) 12- 9 406 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 9- 8, 87.6) 11- 7 413 A Detroit Mercy ASUN ( 3-10, 84.4) 14- 3 417 H Mercer ASUN ( 4-10, 83.6) 20- 5 420 H Jacksonville ASUN (13- 5, 90.6) 9-10 427 A Robert Morris ASUN ( 5-10, 85.2) 14-11 503 H Jacksonville ASUN (13- 5, 90.6) 10-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Marquette 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.76 210 A Denver 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.00 217 H Ohio State 4-12 -8 -3 - -3.36 224 H Stony Brook 12-11 1 0 1.00 303 A St Josephs (PA) 11-15 -4 -5 1.21 316 H Queens 14-10 4 6 - -2.75 320 A Utah 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.18 323 A Lindenwood 15- 3 12 6 0.27 331 H Cleveland State 12- 9 3 3 -0.05 406 H Bellarmine 11- 7 4 2 1.80 413 A Detroit Mercy 14- 3 11 4 + 2.99 417 H Mercer 20- 5 15 6 0.81 420 H Jacksonville 9-10 -1 0 -0.20 427 A Robert Morris 14-11 3 3 -0.19 503 H Jacksonville 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.20UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Marquette 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.76 503 H Jacksonville 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.20 217 H Ohio State 4-12 -8 -3 - -3.36 316 H Queens 14-10 4 6 - -2.75OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Denver 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.00 320 A Utah 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.18 413 A Detroit Mercy 14- 3 11 4 + 2.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.13 Power Rank................. 45 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 73.92 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 57 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5410 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 46 RPI Rating............... .4902 RPI Rank................... 38 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 29 Selection sum ........... 118 Selection Rank ............ 37 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 34 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 34 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0