Conf = ASUN ------ State = O
Mascot = Falcons ------ Coach = Bill WilsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.5854111 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 93.7) 8-11 208 H Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 93.8) 8-14 215 A Ohio State B1G (14- 3, 96.9) 11-17 222 A Boston University Patriot (11- 5, 94.9) 7-15 228 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3-12, 86.4) 21- 8 302 H Marist MAAC ( 8- 8, 89.9) 22- 8 308 A Duke ACC (12- 6, 96.2) 11-16 322 N Marquette Big East ( 7- 7, 92.6) 8- 9 329 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 91.3) 11-15 405 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 87.7) 18- 6 412 H Queens ASUN ( 3-11, 85.7) 8- 7 419 A Mercer ASUN ( 2-11, 85.6) 12- 8 426 H Utah ASUN ( 6- 9, 92.4) 16-15 502 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 91.3) 15-12 504 N Utah ASUN ( 6- 9, 92.4) 11-10 507 A Robert Morris NEC ( 9- 6, 89.9) 14- 9 511 A Maryland B1G (14- 4, 98.9) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Lafayette 8-11 -3 -3 0.08 208 H Denver 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.96 215 A Ohio State 11-17 -6 -6 0.35 222 A Boston University 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.71 228 H Quinnipiac 21- 8 13 6 0.57 302 H Marist 22- 8 14 2 ++ 4.07 308 A Duke 11-16 -5 -5 0.66 322 N Marquette 8- 9 -1 0 -0.07 329 A Jacksonville 11-15 -4 0 - -3.25 405 H Bellarmine 18- 6 12 5 1.86 412 H Queens 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.00 419 A Mercer 12- 8 4 4 -0.94 426 H Utah 16-15 1 0 0.63 502 A Jacksonville 15-12 3 0 + 3.75 504 N Utah 11-10 1 0 1.74 507 A Robert Morris 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.34 511 A Maryland 5-13 -8 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Queens 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.00 208 H Denver 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.96 222 A Boston University 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.71 329 A Jacksonville 11-15 -4 0 - -3.25OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Marist 22- 8 14 2 ++ 4.07 507 A Robert Morris 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.34 502 A Jacksonville 15-12 3 0 + 3.75
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.69 Power Rank................. 41 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.89 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 40 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5985 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 22 RPI Rating............... .5174 RPI Rank................... 31 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 20 Selection sum ........... 94 Selection Rank ............ 28 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 42 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 41 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7